Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models have become one of the workhorses of modern macroeconomics and are extensively used for academic research as well as forecasting and policy analysis at central banks. This book introduces readers to state-of-the-art computational techniques used in the Bayesian analysis of DSGE models. The book covers Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques for linearized

Speed read people, decipher body language, detect lies, and understand human nature.Is it possible to analyze people without them saying a word? Yes, it is. Learn how to become a \"mind reader\" and forge deep connections.How to get inside people\'s heads without them knowing.Read People Like a Book isn\'t a normal book on body language of facial expressions. Yes, it includes all of those things, as

From eight-time bestselling author Jon Gordon comes a spiritual fable about the power of faith, hope, and love Meet Jay and Kay. They\'re twins, and like many teenagers their age, they\'re dealing with stress and anxiety. One day on their way to school, they have a nice conversation with their old family friend and youth soccer coach, Mr. Erwin, who shows them a special garden he created in his backyard.

\'The Grand Design\', by eminent scientist Stephen Hawking, is the latest blockbusting contribution to the so-called New Atheist debate, and claims that the laws of physics themselves brought the Universe into being, rather than God.In this swift and forthright reply, John Lennox, Oxford mathematician and author of \'God\'s Undertaker\', exposes the flaws in Hawking\'s logic.In lively, layman\'s terms,

Addio is a young noble mouse looking for a mental-math adventure. Help him as he joins Subtracto, Multiplus and Diviso, the Mathsketeers, as they team up to protect the mouse king. Follow the trail of math puzzles using addition, subtraction, multiplication and division, to defeat their feline nemesis, Count Catulus. It\'s up to the reader to join the adventure, follow the narrative and work out the

This exercise workbook including LineFinder (TM) tool facilitates the planning outlined in the hardcover text. The methods taught are simple and intuitive and require little memorization. The set of books are of equal interest to pediatric and adult orthopedics

Often called the Picasso, Stravinsky, or Frank Lloyd Wright of the dance world, Martha Graham revolutionized ballet stages across the globe. Using newly discovered archival sources, award-winning choreographer and dance historian Mark Franko reframes Graham\'s most famous creations, those from the World War II era, by restoring their rich historical and personal context. Graham matured as an artist

Make every day special with a beautiful cookie!In Cookie Art, world-renowned cookie decorator Amber Spiegel of SweetAmbs(R) teaches you to create over 30 designs that will turn even the most ordinary cookie into something amazing. These stunning projects reinforce and sharpen your skills to help you make any cookie a work of

Learn how to interpret, approach, and master whatever lighting situation is thrown at you and always get the shot, no matter what. For professional photographers, chasing the light, waiting for it, sometimes helping it, and finally capturing it is a constant preoccupation and for some, an obsession. Drawing on four decades of working with light, Michael Freeman takes a simple but practical approach

Traditional mortars are eminently workable, effectively porous, economic in use and appropriately durable. Used in buildings for thousands of years, these materials are ideal for repair and conservation work. Unlike cement or modern hydraulic lime, their routine use would make a significant contribution in the struggle against climate change. However, despite the 1975 \'lime revival\' there remains

\"A redemption story, an adventure story, and perhaps above all, a love story.\"--Nate Blakeslee, New York Times-bestselling author of American WolfThe Druid Peak Pack was the most famous wolf pack in Yellowstone National Park, and maybe even in the world.This is the dramatic true story of its remarkable leader, Wolf 21--whose compassion and loyalty challenges commonly held beliefs about alpha males.In

Third book in Cyndi Dale s Essential Energy Library after Subtle Energy Techniques (9780738751610)m and Awaken Clairvoyant Energy

Mark Twain\'s great American masterpiece, in a gorgeous new clothbound edition designed by the award-winning Coralie Bickford-Smith. These delectable and collectible Penguin editions are bound in high-quality colourful, tactile cloth with foil stamped into the design Mark Twain\'s tale of a boy\'s picaresque journey down the Mississippi on a raft conveyed the voice and experience of the American frontier

For fans of Adrian Newey, Guy Martin and Chris Hadfield, in Taking on Gravity inventor Richard Browning tells the inspiring story behind his iconic jet suit, and shares his creative principles for generating true innovation. From Icarus to Iron Man, the dream of human flight has always inspired and challenged us. Now, with his pioneering jet suit, Richard Browning has redefined what is possible. Richard

All of us, whether religious, agnostic or atheist, are searching for meaning. In this book, a non-believer both rejects the supernatural claims of the major religions and points out just how many good ideas they sometimes have about how we should live. It looks at the God debate with fresh

The simple petal shape takes centre stage in this book. Each of the 18 applique projects employ simple piecing techniques; the applique is straightforward, eliminating the need for reverse templates, additional seam allowances, and time consuming

NOW IN AN ENLARGED PRINT EDITION!In his introduction to this volume, Dr. Barclay explains why the first three Gospels are called \"synoptic,\" how they came to be written, and why many scholars believe that Mark was the first. Barclay\'s interpretation of the Gospel is full of wisdom, and it offers clear and captivating insight from beginning to end. Having picked up one section to study, the reader